Model line
Siena −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Siena 68%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Siena home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Siena a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Siena defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Siena offense vs Fairfield defense
| Siena O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
