Model line
Fairfield −0.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 53%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Rider home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Fairfield a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Rider defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Rider offense vs Fairfield defense
| Rider O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
