Model line
Fairfield −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 88%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Fairfield a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Manhattan offense vs Fairfield defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Manhattan defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
