Model line
Fairfield −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 89%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Fairfield a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Connecticut offense vs Fairfield defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
