Model line
UC Santa Barbara −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UC Santa Barbara 67%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
33%Win probability67%
The model makes UC Santa Barbara a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Yale offense vs UC Santa Barbara defense
| Yale O | Stat | UC Santa Barbara D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #24167.1 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #24752.6 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #17016.8 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #1525.5 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #33042.4 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #3276.6 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #8749.0 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #25553.5 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #17833.9 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #30135.7 |
UC Santa Barbara offense vs Yale defense
| UC Santa Barbara O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#241 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 54.7#50 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 18.7#311 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 31.0#167 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 36.8#137 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.9#233 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 54.6#124 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 53.6#104 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 37.4#23 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 77.5#25 | FT% | — |
| 44.1#89 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
UC Santa Barbara
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UC Davis188 | L 73–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UC San Diego102 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UC Irvine109 | L 60–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UC Riverside223 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Hawaii132 | L 75–78 |
