Model line
Yale −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 83%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Yale home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Yale a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Howard offense vs Yale defense
| Howard O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#128 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 50.9#198 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 19.3#332 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 35.8#31 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 43.4#17 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 11.2#314 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 60.3#29 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 49.4#273 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 35.8#66 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 74.0#133 | FT% | — |
| 34.7#282 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Howard defense
| Yale O | Stat | Howard D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #12869.3 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #5148.7 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #1420.7 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #21931.4 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #27138.4 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #13610.0 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #6447.9 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #8649.6 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #4631.4 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #32834.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Howard
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan24 | L 80–101 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | UMBC285 | W 86–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | North Carolina Central357 | W 70–63 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | South Carolina St.356 | W 78–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Norfolk St.297 | W 84–76 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
