Model line
Yale −7.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 79%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Yale home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Yale a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs Yale defense
| Princeton O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Princeton defense
| Yale O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
