Model line
UNC Wilmington −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 89%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
UNC Wilmington home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Princeton offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Princeton O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#343 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 49.6#261 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 17.1#211 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 27.2#290 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 34.6#195 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 10.3#262 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 55.0#114 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 48.6#296 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 33.9#180 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 74.8#90 | FT% | — |
| 44.5#79 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
UNC Wilmington offense vs Princeton defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Princeton D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #34364.5 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #21352.0 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #32614.3 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #8728.5 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #15234.0 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #3336.4 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #11750.1 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #32255.7 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #3731.1 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #11441.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Princeton
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Yale145 | L 53–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Dartmouth304 | W 82–61 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Harvard135 | L 56–58 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Brown229 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Columbia202 | L 65–75 |
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
