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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Princeton · #155 · Ivy · 0–0Siena · #271 · MC · 0–0Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ETESPN+MVP Arena · Albany, NY
Model line
Siena −0.5
Win probability
Siena 52%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Siena home
48%Win probability52%

The model makes Siena a 0.5-point favorite, winning about 52 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Princeton offense vs Siena defense

Princeton OStatSiena D
64.5#343Tempo#35164.2
49.6#261eFG%#4948.5
17.1#211TOV%#15617.0
27.2#290ORB%#13329.5
34.6#195FT rate#2827.5
10.3#262Block%#1969.1
55.0#114Assist%#7548.3
48.6#2962P%#5148.5
33.9#1803P%#8232.3
74.8#90FT%—
44.5#793PA rate#18639.4

Siena offense vs Princeton defense

Siena OStatPrinceton D
64.2#351Tempo#34364.5
50.4#221eFG%#21352.0
15.8#125TOV%#32614.3
31.8#132ORB%#8728.5
33.4#226FT rate#15234.0
9.5#189Block%#3336.4
53.2#160Assist%#11750.1
52.5#1472P%#32255.7
30.6#3323P%#3731.1
77.1#32FT%—
32.2#3273PA rate#11441.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Princeton

Sat, Mar 7AYale145L 53–78
Sat, Feb 28HDartmouth304W 82–61
Fri, Feb 27HHarvard135L 56–58
Fri, Feb 20ABrown229L 71–80
Sat, Feb 14HColumbia202L 65–75

Siena

Thu, Mar 19NDuke1L 65–71
Tue, Mar 10NMerrimack211W 64–54
Sun, Mar 8NFairfield231W 76–61
Sat, Mar 7NMount St. Mary's299W 63–58
Sun, Mar 1HRider355W 76–61