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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cornell · #196 · Ivy · 0–0Yale · #145 · Ivy · 0–0Sat, Feb 27 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+John J. Lee Amphitheater · New Haven, CT
Model line
Yale −11.0
Win probability
Yale 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Yale home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Yale a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cornell offense vs Yale defense

Cornell OStatYale D
71.3#40Tempo#31565.6
58.5#8eFG%#19951.7
16.0#136TOV%#20616.3
30.2#191ORB%#14629.7
30.2#304FT rate#2026.8
9.6#197Block%#1499.9
66.7#3Assist%#19352.7
59.7#102P%#13550.9
38.3#143P%#24835.0
74.1#124FT%—
51.6#83PA rate#3145.0

Yale offense vs Cornell defense

Yale OStatCornell D
65.6#315Tempo#4071.3
55.6#29eFG%#34355.9
14.0#25TOV%#27615.1
34.2#62ORB%#18430.6
35.1#177FT rate#24437.2
9.1#156Block%#2997.3
56.0#91Assist%#29756.7
53.6#1062P%#32055.7
39.4#43P%#34937.5
74.6#101FT%—
36.1#2493PA rate#22138.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cornell

Sat, Mar 14NYale145L 76–88
Sat, Mar 7ADartmouth304W 111–90
Sat, Feb 28HBrown229W 86–80
Fri, Feb 27HYale145W 72–69
Sat, Feb 21HHarvard135L 54–73

Yale

Tue, Mar 17HUNC Wilmington107L 67–68
Sun, Mar 15NPenn123L 84–88
Sat, Mar 14NCornell196W 88–76
Sat, Mar 7HPrinceton155W 78–53
Sat, Feb 28AColumbia202W 60–54