Model line
Yale −11.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Yale 88%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Yale home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Yale a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Columbia offense vs Yale defense
| Columbia O | Stat | Yale D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#237 | Tempo | #31565.6 |
| 53.5#85 | eFG% | #19951.7 |
| 19.3#331 | TOV% | #20616.3 |
| 36.1#23 | ORB% | #14629.7 |
| 28.6#336 | FT rate | #2026.8 |
| 9.9#228 | Block% | #1499.9 |
| 54.3#131 | Assist% | #19352.7 |
| 53.2#119 | 2P% | #13550.9 |
| 35.9#62 | 3P% | #24835.0 |
| 70.1#268 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#221 | 3PA rate | #3145.0 |
Yale offense vs Columbia defense
| Yale O | Stat | Columbia D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#315 | Tempo | #23767.1 |
| 55.6#29 | eFG% | #16751.2 |
| 14.0#25 | TOV% | #28815.0 |
| 34.2#62 | ORB% | #4327.2 |
| 35.1#177 | FT rate | #14033.5 |
| 9.1#156 | Block% | #2608.0 |
| 56.0#91 | Assist% | #31457.9 |
| 53.6#106 | 2P% | #11050.3 |
| 39.4#4 | 3P% | #25635.2 |
| 74.6#101 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#249 | 3PA rate | #28536.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Columbia
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Harvard135 | L 71–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Yale145 | L 54–60 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Brown229 | W 80–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Dartmouth304 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Princeton155 | W 75–65 |
Yale
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 67–68 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Penn123 | L 84–88 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Cornell196 | W 88–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Princeton155 | W 78–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Columbia202 | W 60–54 |
