Model line
Columbia −3.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Columbia 63%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
New Haven home
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Columbia a 3.2-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Columbia offense vs New Haven defense
| Columbia O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#237 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 53.5#85 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 19.3#331 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 36.1#23 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 28.6#336 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 9.9#228 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 54.3#131 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 53.2#119 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 35.9#62 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 70.1#268 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#221 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Columbia defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Columbia D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #23767.1 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #16751.2 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #28815.0 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #4327.2 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #14033.5 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #2608.0 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #31457.9 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #11050.3 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #25635.2 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #28536.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Columbia
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Harvard135 | L 71–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Yale145 | L 54–60 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Brown229 | W 80–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Dartmouth304 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | A | Princeton155 | W 75–65 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
