Model line
Illinois St. −15.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 95%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Illinois St. home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Illinois St. a 15.7-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Long Beach St. offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Long Beach St. O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#56 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 50.6#207 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 18.0#270 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 26.2#316 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 30.7#287 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 7.2#19 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 46.2#313 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 51.5#192 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 32.7#244 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 72.5#192 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#278 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Illinois St. offense vs Long Beach St. defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Long Beach St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #5670.9 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #29153.7 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #12117.5 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #6127.8 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #32842.3 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #2687.8 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #20353.1 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #30654.8 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #21234.4 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #30935.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Long Beach St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Hawaii132 | W 84–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Davis188 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 88–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 92–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 76–78 |
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
