Model line
Arkansas St. −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Arkansas St. a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Long Beach St. O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#56 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.6#207 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 18.0#270 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 26.2#316 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 30.7#287 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 7.2#19 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 46.2#313 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 51.5#192 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 32.7#244 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 72.5#192 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#278 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Long Beach St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #5670.9 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #29153.7 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #12117.5 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #6127.8 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #32842.3 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2687.8 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #20353.1 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #30654.8 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #21234.4 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #30935.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Hawaii132 | W 84–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UC Davis188 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 88–87 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 92–102 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 76–78 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |