Model line
Merrimack −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 87%
Projected tempo
67.4
possessions
Site
Merrimack home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Merrimack a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston University offense vs Merrimack defense
| Boston University O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#360 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 57.5#11 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 17.8#255 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 28.0#268 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 31.4#269 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 8.9#137 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 53.6#146 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 56.9#32 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 38.8#7 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 73.4#156 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#93 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs Boston University defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Boston University D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #36063.5 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #28653.6 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #35413.0 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #6628.0 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #7330.5 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #1609.6 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #10049.4 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #22852.8 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #33036.6 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #14040.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston University
| Wed, Mar 11 | A | Lehigh265 | L 60–74 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Navy290 | W 73–72 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | American198 | W 75–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | American198 | W 68–65 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Holy Cross353 | W 78–63 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
