Model line
Mercyhurst −2.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 62%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Neutral
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 2.8-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Albany offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Albany O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#311 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 51.3#180 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 18.5#295 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 32.7#97 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 24.9#364 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 9.4#171 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 48.9#266 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 52.8#134 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 32.6#248 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 65.9#354 | FT% | — |
| 37.6#220 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs Albany defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Albany D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #31165.6 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #27353.2 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #22915.8 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #27532.4 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #20235.7 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #5511.8 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #29156.4 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #22452.7 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #29936.0 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #13940.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Albany
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UMass Lowell306 | L 76–81 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Vermont189 | L 56–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Hampshire342 | W 84–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Maine337 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | UMBC285 | L 62–66 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
