Model line
Merrimack −0.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 53%
Projected tempo
68.0
possessions
Site
Maine home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Merrimack a 0.6-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Merrimack offense vs Maine defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Maine offense vs Merrimack defense
| Maine O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
