Model line
Niagara −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 56%
Projected tempo
68.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
56%Win probability44%
The model makes Niagara a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Niagara offense vs Maine defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Maine D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #33364.9 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #13550.6 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #3619.4 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #32334.3 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #14933.9 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #1899.1 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #17752.4 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #29554.5 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #429.3 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #26836.8 |
Maine offense vs Niagara defense
| Maine O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#333 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 49.6#258 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 19.1#326 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 19.7#364 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 38.4#92 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 9.0#144 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 54.4#129 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 51.2#205 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 31.2#315 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 64.3#363 | FT% | — |
| 37.0#230 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
Maine
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NJIT336 | L 58–60 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UMass Lowell306 | L 56–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Binghamton349 | L 67–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Albany330 | W 70–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | New Hampshire342 | W 61–58 |
