Model line
Houston −2.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 59%
Projected tempo
68.1
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
59%Win probability41%
The model makes Houston a 2.2-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Houston O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Houston defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
