Model line
Iowa St. −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 88%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Iowa St. a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs Iowa St. defense
| BYU O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs BYU defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
