Model line
Cincinnati −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 63%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
38%Win probability63%
The model makes Cincinnati a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Kansas O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#186 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 51.3#182 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.4#98 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 29.3#225 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 32.2#255 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 8.2#70 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 52.7#170 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 51.0#212 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 34.6#142 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 76.9#35 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#259 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Kansas defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Kansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #18668.3 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #245.1 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #33913.9 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #16330.1 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #3027.7 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #715.3 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #5347.3 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #344.5 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #2230.5 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #10841.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | St. John's25 | L 65–67 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Cal Baptist216 | W 68–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Houston4 | L 47–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | TCU50 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Kansas St.96 | W 104–85 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
