Model line
UCF −11.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 90%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
UCF home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes UCF a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Colorado offense vs UCF defense
| Colorado O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Colorado defense
| UCF O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
