Model line
TCU −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
TCU 72%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
TCU home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes TCU a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs TCU defense
| Baylor O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
TCU offense vs Baylor defense
| TCU O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
