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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Oklahoma St. · #52 · B12 · 0–0Baylor · #32 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 2:00 PM ETFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX
Model line
Baylor −10.4
Win probability
Baylor 86%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Baylor home
14%Win probability86%

The model makes Baylor a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Oklahoma St. offense vs Baylor defense

Oklahoma St. OStatBaylor D
74.1#6Tempo#10969.6
52.2#141eFG%#23852.5
15.8#122TOV%#21716.1
31.0#164ORB%#26732.2
39.7#62FT rate#6130.2
10.5#275Block%#1549.7
50.9#221Assist%#7348.3
52.8#1362P%#20352.2
34.0#1723P%#27835.5
74.9#86FT%—
35.6#2563PA rate#32334.7

Baylor offense vs Oklahoma St. defense

Baylor OStatOklahoma St. D
69.6#109Tempo#674.1
53.8#72eFG%#26652.9
16.5#161TOV%#23415.8
37.5#12ORB%#17530.2
34.8#187FT rate#10131.8
8.8#129Block%#3067.1
53.3#156Assist%#30357.3
55.2#532P%#22352.6
34.5#1473P%#28335.5
73.3#158FT%—
39.6#1803PA rate#6443.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Oklahoma St.

Sun, Mar 22HWichita St.80L 70–96
Tue, Mar 17HDavidson121W 84–80
Wed, Mar 11NTCU50L 88–95
Tue, Mar 10NColorado87W 92–83
Sat, Mar 7HHouston4L 75–82

Baylor

Sat, Apr 4NOklahoma22L 69–82
Wed, Apr 1NMinnesota63W 67–48
Tue, Mar 10NArizona St.68L 79–83
Sat, Mar 7HUtah88W 101–75
Wed, Mar 4AHouston4L 64–77