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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 8:00 PM ETUnited Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −5.9
Win probability
Texas Tech 73%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Texas Tech a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Iowa St. offense vs Texas Tech defense

Iowa St. OStatTexas Tech D
68.5#172Tempo#20667.9
56.6#15eFG%#8049.4
15.0#61TOV%#31014.7
35.8#32ORB%#16730.1
34.1#204FT rate#9931.7
9.9#230Block%#1639.6
58.6#48Assist%#641.7
55.5#492P%#12550.7
38.9#63P%#4231.3
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs Iowa St. defense

Texas Tech OStatIowa St. D
67.9#206Tempo#17268.5
56.7#13eFG%#7849.4
15.8#126TOV%#422.3
33.3#84ORB%#7428.2
27.3#350FT rate#3327.9
7.4#26Block%#2118.7
55.3#107Assist%#23654.4
54.1#832P%#12150.6
39.7#33P%#6131.9
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#8742.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73