Model line
Houston −4.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 68%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Colorado home
68%Win probability32%
The model makes Houston a 4.4-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Colorado defense
| Houston O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Colorado offense vs Houston defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
