Model line
West Virginia −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
West Virginia 73%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
West Virginia home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes West Virginia a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cincinnati offense vs West Virginia defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | West Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #35664.0 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #4648.3 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #9518.1 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #10529.0 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #4829.2 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #2218.6 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #25655.1 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #1145.7 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #24735.0 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #23138.1 |
West Virginia offense vs Cincinnati defense
| West Virginia O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0#356 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 51.1#192 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 17.5#239 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 31.0#168 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 35.5#167 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 11.2#319 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 53.2#162 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 52.5#149 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 32.8#242 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 67.7#331 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#117 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
West Virginia
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Oklahoma22 | W 89–82 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Creighton36 | W 87–70 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Stanford81 | W 82–77 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | BYU28 | L 48–68 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | UCF58 | W 77–62 |
