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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

UCF · #58 · B12 · 0–0Kansas · #8 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 16 · 2:00 PM ETAllen Fieldhouse · Lawrence, KS
Model line
Kansas −15.5
Win probability
Kansas 95%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Kansas home
5%Win probability95%

The model makes Kansas a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

UCF offense vs Kansas defense

UCF OStatKansas D
70.6#75Tempo#18668.3
52.6#124eFG%#245.1
16.0#143TOV%#33913.9
35.0#48ORB%#16330.1
30.5#299FT rate#3027.7
9.4#181Block%#715.3
53.7#144Assist%#5347.3
51.7#1852P%#344.5
36.2#503P%#2230.5
72.9#173FT%—
34.8#2803PA rate#10841.5

Kansas offense vs UCF defense

Kansas OStatUCF D
68.3#186Tempo#7570.6
51.3#182eFG%#22152.1
15.4#98TOV%#24215.7
29.3#225ORB%#9728.8
32.2#255FT rate#17734.9
8.2#70Block%#2578.1
52.7#170Assist%#14651.0
51.0#2122P%#23752.9
34.6#1423P%#17933.9
76.9#35FT%—
35.5#2593PA rate#18839.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

UCF

Fri, Mar 20NUCLA18L 71–75
Thu, Mar 12NArizona5L 59–81
Wed, Mar 11NCincinnati30W 66–65
Fri, Mar 6AWest Virginia51L 62–77
Tue, Mar 3HOklahoma St.52L 104–111

Kansas

Sun, Mar 22NSt. John's25L 65–67
Fri, Mar 20NCal Baptist216W 68–60
Fri, Mar 13NHouston4L 47–69
Thu, Mar 12NTCU50W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HKansas St.96W 104–85