Model line
Arizona −17.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 97%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Arizona home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Arizona a 17.7-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Arizona defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
