Model line
Houston −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 81%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Houston home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Houston a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Houston defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Houston O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
