Model line
UCF −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 72%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
UCF home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes UCF a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs UCF defense
| Baylor O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Baylor defense
| UCF O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
