Model line
Cincinnati −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati 85%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Cincinnati a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Cincinnati defense
| TCU O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs TCU defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
