Model line
Arizona −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 89%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Arizona home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Arizona a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs Arizona defense
| BYU O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs BYU defense
| Arizona O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
