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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Arizona St. · #68 · B12 · 0–0Texas Tech · #12 · B12 · 0–0Tue, Jan 12 · 10:00 PM ETFS1United Supermarkets Arena · Lubbock, TX
Model line
Texas Tech −15.5
Win probability
Texas Tech 95%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Texas Tech home
5%Win probability95%

The model makes Texas Tech a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Arizona St. offense vs Texas Tech defense

Arizona St. OStatTexas Tech D
70.6#69Tempo#20667.9
51.1#188eFG%#8049.4
17.1#206TOV%#31014.7
29.8#206ORB%#16730.1
39.5#67FT rate#9931.7
9.6#194Block%#1639.6
53.0#165Assist%#641.7
51.7#1802P%#12550.7
33.4#1983P%#4231.3
75.3#70FT%—
38.4#2013PA rate#31935.0

Texas Tech offense vs Arizona St. defense

Texas Tech OStatArizona St. D
67.9#206Tempo#6970.6
56.7#13eFG%#23452.4
15.8#126TOV%#7018.5
33.3#84ORB%#33634.9
27.3#350FT rate#15834.3
7.4#26Block%#2812.8
55.3#107Assist%#26355.4
54.1#832P%#21352.3
39.7#33P%#24335.0
71.2#232FT%—
47.8#263PA rate#14940.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Arizona St.

Wed, Mar 11NIowa St.6L 42–91
Tue, Mar 10NBaylor32W 83–79
Sat, Mar 7AIowa St.6L 65–86
Tue, Mar 3HKansas8W 70–60
Sat, Feb 28HUtah88W 73–60

Texas Tech

Sun, Mar 22NAlabama16L 65–90
Fri, Mar 20NAkron100W 91–71
Thu, Mar 12NIowa St.6L 53–75
Sat, Mar 7ABYU28L 76–82
Tue, Mar 3HTCU50L 65–73