Model line
Baylor −2.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Baylor 59%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Baylor home
42%Win probability59%
The model makes Baylor a 2.0-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Baylor defense
| Houston O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Baylor offense vs Houston defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
