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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Oklahoma St. · #52 · B12 · 0–0Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 2:00 PM ETFoxHilton Coliseum · Ames, IA
Model line
Iowa St. −14.4
Win probability
Iowa St. 94%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
6%Win probability94%

The model makes Iowa St. a 14.4-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Oklahoma St. offense vs Iowa St. defense

Oklahoma St. OStatIowa St. D
74.1#6Tempo#17268.5
52.2#141eFG%#7849.4
15.8#122TOV%#422.3
31.0#164ORB%#7428.2
39.7#62FT rate#3327.9
10.5#275Block%#2118.7
50.9#221Assist%#23654.4
52.8#1362P%#12150.6
34.0#1723P%#6131.9
74.9#86FT%—
35.6#2563PA rate#8742.4

Iowa St. offense vs Oklahoma St. defense

Iowa St. OStatOklahoma St. D
68.5#172Tempo#674.1
56.6#15eFG%#26652.9
15.0#61TOV%#23415.8
35.8#32ORB%#17530.2
34.1#204FT rate#10131.8
9.9#230Block%#3067.1
58.6#48Assist%#30357.3
55.5#492P%#22352.6
38.9#63P%#28335.5
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#6443.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Oklahoma St.

Sun, Mar 22HWichita St.80L 70–96
Tue, Mar 17HDavidson121W 84–80
Wed, Mar 11NTCU50L 88–95
Tue, Mar 10NColorado87W 92–83
Sat, Mar 7HHouston4L 75–82

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53