Model line
Utah −1.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah 56%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Utah home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes Utah a 1.5-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cincinnati offense vs Utah defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #20168.0 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #29853.9 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #34913.3 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #23631.6 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #5729.9 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #2418.4 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #7248.2 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #30254.6 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #25435.1 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #33733.8 |
Utah offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Utah O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#201 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 52.0#150 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.7#181 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 29.3#227 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 31.7#263 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 12.0#343 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 51.7#197 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 51.5#195 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 35.3#102 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 73.8#144 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#222 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
Utah
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Cincinnati30 | L 66–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Baylor32 | L 75–101 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Colorado87 | L 78–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arizona St.68 | L 60–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Iowa St.6 | L 59–75 |
