Model line
Arizona St. −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 72%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Arizona St. a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCF offense vs Arizona St. defense
| UCF O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs UCF defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
