Model line
Arizona −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 72%
Projected tempo
72.8
possessions
Site
Kansas St. home
72%Win probability28%
The model makes Arizona a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Kansas St. offense vs Arizona defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
