Model line
BYU −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 78%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
BYU home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes BYU a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cincinnati offense vs BYU defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
BYU offense vs Cincinnati defense
| BYU O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
