Model line
Arizona −17.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona 97%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Arizona home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Arizona a 17.4-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UCF offense vs Arizona defense
| UCF O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs UCF defense
| Arizona O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
