Model line
Iowa St. −4.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 66%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Colorado home
66%Win probability34%
The model makes Iowa St. a 4.0-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Iowa St. offense vs Colorado defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Colorado offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
