Model line
Houston −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 69%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Kansas St. home
69%Win probability31%
The model makes Houston a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs Kansas St. defense
| Houston O | Stat | Kansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #773.8 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #24052.5 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #13917.1 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #31733.9 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #18535.2 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #1869.1 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #29556.5 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #26153.7 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #16633.7 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #21338.6 |
Kansas St. offense vs Houston defense
| Kansas St. O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8#7 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 53.3#89 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 17.4#228 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 29.2#229 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 26.9#352 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 11.0#301 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 57.7#61 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 52.4#152 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 36.4#43 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 71.0#236 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#147 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
Kansas St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | BYU28 | L 91–105 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kansas8 | L 85–104 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | West Virginia51 | W 65–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | TCU50 | L 68–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colorado87 | L 70–79 |
