Model line
UCF −11.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 89%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
UCF home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes UCF a 11.7-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah offense vs UCF defense
| Utah O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#201 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 52.0#150 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 16.7#181 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 29.3#227 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 31.7#263 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 12.0#343 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 51.7#197 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 51.5#195 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 35.3#102 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 73.8#144 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#222 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Utah defense
| UCF O | Stat | Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #20168.0 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #29853.9 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #34913.3 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #23631.6 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #5729.9 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2418.4 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #7248.2 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #30254.6 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #25435.1 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #33733.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Cincinnati30 | L 66–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Baylor32 | L 75–101 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Colorado87 | L 78–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arizona St.68 | L 60–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Iowa St.6 | L 59–75 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
