Model line
Houston −13.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 93%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Houston home
7%Win probability93%
The model makes Houston a 13.8-point favorite, winning about 93 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Houston defense
| TCU O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs TCU defense
| Houston O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
