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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Kansas St. · #96 · B12 · 0–0Baylor · #32 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 12:00 PM ETFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX
Model line
Baylor −18.5
Win probability
Baylor 97%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Baylor home
3%Win probability97%

The model makes Baylor a 18.5-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Kansas St. offense vs Baylor defense

Kansas St. OStatBaylor D
73.8#7Tempo#10969.6
53.3#89eFG%#23852.5
17.4#228TOV%#21716.1
29.2#229ORB%#26732.2
26.9#352FT rate#6130.2
11.0#301Block%#1549.7
57.7#61Assist%#7348.3
52.4#1522P%#20352.2
36.4#433P%#27835.5
71.0#236FT%—
40.9#1473PA rate#32334.7

Baylor offense vs Kansas St. defense

Baylor OStatKansas St. D
69.6#109Tempo#773.8
53.8#72eFG%#24052.5
16.5#161TOV%#13917.1
37.5#12ORB%#31733.9
34.8#187FT rate#18535.2
8.8#129Block%#1869.1
53.3#156Assist%#29556.5
55.2#532P%#26153.7
34.5#1473P%#16633.7
73.3#158FT%—
39.6#1803PA rate#21338.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Kansas St.

Tue, Mar 10NBYU28L 91–105
Sat, Mar 7AKansas8L 85–104
Tue, Mar 3HWest Virginia51W 65–63
Sat, Feb 28HTCU50L 68–77
Wed, Feb 25AColorado87L 70–79

Baylor

Sat, Apr 4NOklahoma22L 69–82
Wed, Apr 1NMinnesota63W 67–48
Tue, Mar 10NArizona St.68L 79–83
Sat, Mar 7HUtah88W 101–75
Wed, Mar 4AHouston4L 64–77