Model line
Arizona St. −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 60%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Arizona St. a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
BYU offense vs Arizona St. defense
| BYU O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs BYU defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
