Model line
Iowa St. −6.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Iowa St. 75%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Iowa St. a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona offense vs Iowa St. defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Iowa St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #17268.5 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #7849.4 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #422.3 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #7428.2 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #3327.9 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #2118.7 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #23654.4 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #12150.6 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #6131.9 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #8742.4 |
Iowa St. offense vs Arizona defense
| Iowa St. O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#172 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 56.6#15 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 15.0#61 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 35.8#32 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 34.1#204 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 9.9#230 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 58.6#48 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 55.5#49 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 38.9#6 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 67.6#332 | FT% | — |
| 38.6#199 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
Iowa St.
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Tennessee11 | L 62–76 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kentucky20 | W 82–63 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 108–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arizona5 | L 80–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 75–53 |
