HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

West Virginia · #51 · B12 · 0–0Iowa St. · #6 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 3:00 PM ETFoxHilton Coliseum · Ames, IA
Model line
Iowa St. −12.9
Win probability
Iowa St. 91%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Iowa St. home
9%Win probability91%

The model makes Iowa St. a 12.9-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

West Virginia offense vs Iowa St. defense

West Virginia OStatIowa St. D
64.0#356Tempo#17268.5
51.1#192eFG%#7849.4
17.5#239TOV%#422.3
31.0#168ORB%#7428.2
35.5#167FT rate#3327.9
11.2#319Block%#2118.7
53.2#162Assist%#23654.4
52.5#1492P%#12150.6
32.8#2423P%#6131.9
67.7#331FT%—
42.9#1173PA rate#8742.4

Iowa St. offense vs West Virginia defense

Iowa St. OStatWest Virginia D
68.5#172Tempo#35664.0
56.6#15eFG%#4648.3
15.0#61TOV%#9518.1
35.8#32ORB%#10529.0
34.1#204FT rate#4829.2
9.9#230Block%#2218.6
58.6#48Assist%#25655.1
55.5#492P%#1145.7
38.9#63P%#24735.0
67.6#332FT%—
38.6#1993PA rate#23138.1

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

West Virginia

Sun, Apr 5NOklahoma22W 89–82
Sat, Apr 4NCreighton36W 87–70
Thu, Apr 2NStanford81W 82–77
Wed, Mar 11NBYU28L 48–68
Fri, Mar 6HUCF58W 77–62

Iowa St.

Fri, Mar 27NTennessee11L 62–76
Sun, Mar 22NKentucky20W 82–63
Fri, Mar 20NTennessee St.204W 108–74
Fri, Mar 13NArizona5L 80–82
Thu, Mar 12NTexas Tech12W 75–53