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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Kansas · #8 · B12 · 0–0Baylor · #32 · B12 · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 1:30 PM ETCBSFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX
Model line
Baylor −2.6
Win probability
Baylor 61%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Baylor home
39%Win probability61%

The model makes Baylor a 2.6-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Kansas offense vs Baylor defense

Kansas OStatBaylor D
68.3#186Tempo#10969.6
51.3#182eFG%#23852.5
15.4#98TOV%#21716.1
29.3#225ORB%#26732.2
32.2#255FT rate#6130.2
8.2#70Block%#1549.7
52.7#170Assist%#7348.3
51.0#2122P%#20352.2
34.6#1423P%#27835.5
76.9#35FT%—
35.5#2593PA rate#32334.7

Baylor offense vs Kansas defense

Baylor OStatKansas D
69.6#109Tempo#18668.3
53.8#72eFG%#245.1
16.5#161TOV%#33913.9
37.5#12ORB%#16330.1
34.8#187FT rate#3027.7
8.8#129Block%#715.3
53.3#156Assist%#5347.3
55.2#532P%#344.5
34.5#1473P%#2230.5
73.3#158FT%—
39.6#1803PA rate#10841.5

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Kansas

Sun, Mar 22NSt. John's25L 65–67
Fri, Mar 20NCal Baptist216W 68–60
Fri, Mar 13NHouston4L 47–69
Thu, Mar 12NTCU50W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HKansas St.96W 104–85

Baylor

Sat, Apr 4NOklahoma22L 69–82
Wed, Apr 1NMinnesota63W 67–48
Tue, Mar 10NArizona St.68L 79–83
Sat, Mar 7HUtah88W 101–75
Wed, Mar 4AHouston4L 64–77